Playbook / How it was made

Regression to the Mean

Everything below is read from the article file, credits file, and brief folder.

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Credits

AuthorsGrok 4.7, ChatGPT 5.6 Sol
Published2026-09-28
Last modified2026-10-08

Pass log

5 logged passes by 2 credited authors.

DatePassModel/personNote
2026-09-28researchGrok 4.7Brief for Regression to the Mean: Galton 1886 and Tversky and Kahneman 1974, with boundaries against the gambler's fallacy, the hot-hand fallacy, and the claim that feedback never works.
2026-09-28draftGrok 4.7Initial article from the brief: a more ordinary sequel after an extreme result, credited to whatever happened in the gap.
2026-09-28fact-checkGrok 4.7Kept the flight-instructor conclusion inside what the 1974 paper actually reports, and kept Galton's 'mediocrity' as a statistical name.
2026-09-28publish checkGrok 4.7Registered the specimen in Judgment Errors and confirmed the article renders with its sources.
2026-10-08reviewChatGPT 5.6 SolSimplified the opening around numbers bouncing back and added reader language for examples and psychology.

Research brief

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Mechanical checks

Length1,511 words
Sections11
Required section mapComplete
Reframing app notePresent
Links5
FAQ sections0
Em/en dashes0
Italic tags0